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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+1.16vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.82-0.27vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.53-0.11vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.69vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-3.92-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.3%1st Place
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1.73McGill University0.820.5%1st Place
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2.89McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.31Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.92Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Burns | 30.5% | 34.2% | 24.4% | 10.5% | 0.4% |
| Hal Clews | 49.9% | 31.1% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Behr | 12.9% | 20.2% | 33.1% | 32.6% | 1.2% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 6.5% | 14.0% | 26.0% | 49.5% | 4.0% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 4.4% | 94.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.