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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.82+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.12vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.53-0.08vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.69vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-3.92-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73McGill University0.820.5%1st Place
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2.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.3%1st Place
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2.92McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.31Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.92Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 49.5% | 32.6% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 31.4% | 34.3% | 25.1% | 8.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Behr | 12.9% | 18.2% | 33.8% | 33.9% | 1.2% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 5.9% | 14.5% | 26.6% | 48.9% | 4.1% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 4.1% | 94.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.