← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.55+4.56vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.10+7.62vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+5.03vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.95+4.14vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.05+6.75vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.94+2.49vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.42-2.55vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.26+3.53vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.16+4.04vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.69+2.94vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.74-2.53vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.60-2.69vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University1.49-2.59vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.43-4.04vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.37vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.47vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.18-5.87vs Predicted
-
18Williams College-0.90+0.31vs Predicted
-
19Roger Williams University1.97-10.25vs Predicted
-
20Salve Regina University0.46-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.56Yale University2.5512.4%1st Place
-
9.62Harvard University2.104.8%1st Place
-
8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.807.4%1st Place
-
8.14Boston College1.957.2%1st Place
-
11.75University of Rhode Island1.053.9%1st Place
-
8.49Roger Williams University1.946.7%1st Place
-
4.45Yale University2.4217.2%1st Place
-
11.53Northeastern University1.263.0%1st Place
-
13.04Tufts University1.161.8%1st Place
-
12.94Tufts University0.691.9%1st Place
-
8.47Brown University1.746.0%1st Place
-
9.31Roger Williams University1.604.6%1st Place
-
10.41Northwestern University1.493.5%1st Place
-
9.96Tufts University1.434.8%1st Place
-
13.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.0%1st Place
-
14.53Maine Maritime Academy0.411.5%1st Place
-
11.13Bowdoin College1.182.8%1st Place
-
18.31Williams College-0.900.5%1st Place
-
8.75Roger Williams University1.975.5%1st Place
-
11.95Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Andy Yu | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.2% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 3.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Shea Smith | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Flores | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 10.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 64.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.