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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.82+0.73vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.53+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.87vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.96-0.71vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-3.97-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73McGill University0.820.5%1st Place
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2.93McGill University-0.530.1%1st Place
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2.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.3%1st Place
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3.29Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.92Amherst College-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hal Clews | 50.5% | 30.8% | 13.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Behr | 11.3% | 20.7% | 33.4% | 33.1% | 1.5% |
| Timothy Burns | 31.0% | 36.0% | 22.2% | 10.6% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn DeChambeau | 7.0% | 12.0% | 29.5% | 47.8% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Rabasa | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 94.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.