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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.25vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.490.00vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.54-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.49-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.85-0.05vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.91-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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3.49Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Wisconsin1.540.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.94Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 38.2% | 26.1% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Quinn | 12.7% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 17.8% | 24.4% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Trepton | 21.9% | 19.4% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 29.4% | 19.5% | 7.1% |
| Justin Smith | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 11.9% | 32.7% | 43.4% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 30.7% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.