← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Illinois1.49+1.99vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.09+0.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.54-0.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.49+0.39vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University1.13-1.45vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago-0.85-0.03vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University-0.91-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.99University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
-
2.22University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
-
2.94University of Wisconsin1.540.2%1st Place
-
4.39University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
-
3.55Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
-
5.97University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
-
5.94Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.7% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 36.5% | 27.6% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Trepton | 20.9% | 21.5% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 29.4% | 20.0% | 6.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 12.0% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 25.0% | 19.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Justin Smith | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 34.1% | 43.3% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 30.1% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.