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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.28vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.54-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.49+0.39vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.91+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.79-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois1.49-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Wisconsin1.540.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
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6.05Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
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2.89University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 36.7% | 26.8% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.7% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 8.4% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Trepton | 19.9% | 22.7% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 30.8% | 20.3% | 5.1% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 10.3% | 29.2% | 49.3% |
| Bay Hodge | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 33.3% | 42.2% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 22.3% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.