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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+8.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+3.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.95+4.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26+6.35vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.49+4.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97+1.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.16+4.95vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94-0.53vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43-0.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69+1.99vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.74-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-1.26vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.48vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.60-5.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.18-4.90vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-3.47vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-9.70vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University0.46-6.93vs Predicted
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20Williams College-0.90-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Harvard University2.104.8%1st Place
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5.38Yale University2.5513.8%1st Place
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4.45Yale University2.4217.3%1st Place
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8.19Boston College1.956.4%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.263.9%1st Place
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10.43Northwestern University1.494.0%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University1.975.8%1st Place
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12.95Tufts University1.161.9%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University1.946.7%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.434.2%1st Place
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12.99Tufts University0.691.9%1st Place
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8.59Brown University1.744.9%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island1.052.7%1st Place
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14.48Maine Maritime Academy0.411.9%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University1.604.5%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
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13.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.5%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.806.5%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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18.31Williams College-0.900.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Shea Smith | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Olin Guck | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 10.1% |
| Jack Roman | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 5.3% |
| Andy Yu | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.