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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.25vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.13+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.54-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois1.49-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.49-0.57vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.91+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.79-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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3.48Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Wisconsin1.540.2%1st Place
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3.02University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
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6.04Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 38.0% | 26.1% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Quinn | 13.0% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Trevor Trepton | 18.7% | 25.3% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.7% | 18.6% | 23.4% | 18.6% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 29.9% | 19.1% | 7.2% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 30.4% | 48.0% |
| Bay Hodge | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 33.1% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.