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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.54+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.49-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.49-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.79+0.06vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.91-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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2.49University of Wisconsin1.540.3%1st Place
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2.56University of Illinois1.490.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Michigan0.490.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.18Purdue University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 40.2% | 31.6% | 18.2% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Trepton | 26.0% | 26.6% | 25.7% | 16.1% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 23.2% | 26.1% | 28.3% | 17.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 7.8% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 37.4% | 21.4% | 5.5% |
| Bay Hodge | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 35.7% | 43.4% |
| Edward Marcheselli | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 32.3% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.