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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.35+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.41+0.39vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.85+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.31+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.00-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.16-1.75vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.51-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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2.39University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin0.850.2%1st Place
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6.2University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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3.58Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Chambers | 13.6% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 33.8% | 27.5% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ella Reinemann | 19.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Nick Nowicki | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 65.1% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 28.5% | 11.2% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 9.3% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 9.5% |
| Lukas Diehm | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.