← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.41+1.23vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University0.51+1.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Chicago-1.31+2.86vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan0.00+0.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois0.16-1.02vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-0.92-0.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.85-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.23University of Wisconsin1.410.4%1st Place
-
3.45Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
-
5.86University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
-
3.98University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
-
5.46Northwestern University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
2.81University of Wisconsin0.850.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 38.8% | 25.8% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Lukas Diehm | 13.1% | 18.5% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Nick Nowicki | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 22.5% | 50.4% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 7.1% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 6.1% |
| Avery Zieper | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 29.6% | 31.9% |
| Ella Reinemann | 23.2% | 24.9% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.