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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.85+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.41+0.36vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.51+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.31+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.16-0.72vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.35-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.00-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Wisconsin0.850.2%1st Place
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2.36University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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3.73Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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3.92Northwestern University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Reinemann | 21.5% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 33.4% | 28.6% | 18.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lukas Diehm | 13.2% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 4.6% |
| Nick Nowicki | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 67.1% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 20.2% | 22.8% | 8.3% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 12.6% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 23.1% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.