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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.51+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.41+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.85-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.16-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.31+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.00-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.1University of Wisconsin1.410.4%1st Place
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2.74University of Wisconsin0.850.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 15.4% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 6.6% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 41.4% | 26.4% | 18.1% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Ella Reinemann | 22.7% | 23.9% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 9.9% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 25.8% | 9.5% |
| Nick Nowicki | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 14.8% | 68.6% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 29.1% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.