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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+1.14vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.51+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.85-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.00-1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.31-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Wisconsin1.410.4%1st Place
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3.17Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Wisconsin0.850.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 39.7% | 28.5% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Lukas Diehm | 15.4% | 21.5% | 21.7% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 5.9% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 11.7% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 26.3% | 8.3% |
| Ella Reinemann | 22.6% | 22.8% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 20.1% | 29.7% | 15.0% |
| Nick Nowicki | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.