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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+7.26vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.82+4.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.25+2.29vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+2.81vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.50+3.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.17+3.42vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.41+1.40vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.89+2.47vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96+1.25vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35-1.09vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.09vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-1.21vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.38-0.53vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.62vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.31-6.26vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-1.57vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.45-4.56vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.88Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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8.4George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.47Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.25Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.91George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.380.0%1st Place
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11.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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8.74Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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14.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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12.44Old Dominion University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bayless | 13.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Minder | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Priebe | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Louis Margay | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Soenke Jordan | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Vir Menon | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Owen Timms | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Paper | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Jack Hemmelgarn | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Booher | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 34.1% |
| Frank Frisinger | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.