Race 1A

st-mary-women-intersec

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Anne Haeger 14.0% 14.1% 12.3% 10.0% 10.7% 7.6% 6.9% 6.4% 4.6% 5.0% 2.9% 2.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
Stephanie Roble 6.6% 9.1% 7.4% 8.6% 6.2% 6.7% 7.3% 6.2% 8.0% 5.7% 7.3% 5.9% 6.1% 3.3% 3.8% 1.8%
Sydney Bolger 15.7% 12.0% 13.0% 11.5% 8.9% 9.0% 8.7% 7.2% 5.2% 2.3% 2.1% 1.8% 0.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Marlena Fauer 5.3% 8.2% 8.1% 7.6% 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 7.4% 9.5% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 2.4%
Megan Magill 7.4% 6.9% 7.4% 7.0% 8.1% 7.7% 8.4% 7.1% 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 6.0% 4.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.1%
Emily Lambert 5.7% 5.3% 7.8% 7.1% 7.8% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.8% 6.1% 6.2% 6.3% 6.7% 4.5% 4.7% 2.9%
Atlantic Brugman 7.5% 7.1% 5.5% 6.7% 6.3% 7.9% 6.7% 7.5% 5.8% 7.5% 7.0% 6.1% 6.7% 6.1% 3.4% 2.2%
Catherine Swanson 4.5% 5.1% 4.7% 5.2% 5.6% 4.7% 6.6% 6.2% 6.8% 6.7% 5.7% 8.5% 6.7% 9.7% 7.3% 6.0%
Hannah Tuson-Turner 5.1% 4.5% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 7.0% 5.8% 6.8% 7.3% 7.0% 7.9% 7.7% 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 6.4%
Killian Corbishley 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 3.2% 2.3% 3.3% 3.6% 3.4% 4.6% 4.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.7% 10.9% 14.3% 20.3%
Caroline Patten 6.5% 6.9% 5.9% 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 6.6% 7.2% 6.6% 7.2% 8.0% 7.4% 6.4% 5.0% 4.9% 3.2%
Emily Dellenbaugh 5.3% 4.6% 5.7% 6.4% 6.6% 7.3% 6.0% 5.7% 6.4% 6.8% 6.0% 6.4% 7.2% 7.6% 6.6% 5.4%
Christine Porter 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 3.7% 4.7% 5.6% 5.2% 5.8% 9.0% 8.6% 13.3% 24.5%
Corey Hall 4.6% 3.8% 4.8% 3.4% 5.8% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 5.9% 7.6% 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 8.7% 7.4% 7.7%
Krysta Rohde 4.2% 4.4% 3.7% 5.1% 6.1% 5.6% 6.3% 5.7% 5.4% 8.4% 6.6% 8.6% 7.1% 8.6% 8.7% 5.5%
Eliza Richartz 3.3% 3.4% 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 3.8% 4.9% 6.1% 5.5% 7.1% 8.4% 5.6% 10.1% 7.9% 11.1% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.