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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.94+7.62vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+6.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.60+6.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+1.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+4.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+3.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.95+1.23vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.26+3.55vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.92vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49+0.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.16+2.08vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.42-7.61vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.18-2.08vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.74-5.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.38vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.53vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.05-5.20vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.46-6.09vs Predicted
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19Williams College-0.90-0.61vs Predicted
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20Tufts University0.69-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Roger Williams University1.945.5%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University1.976.6%1st Place
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9.36Roger Williams University1.605.2%1st Place
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5.44Yale University2.5513.5%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University2.104.8%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
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8.23Boston College1.955.9%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University1.263.4%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.806.7%1st Place
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10.34Northwestern University1.494.7%1st Place
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13.08Tufts University1.162.2%1st Place
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4.39Yale University2.4218.6%1st Place
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10.92Bowdoin College1.182.6%1st Place
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8.57Brown University1.745.8%1st Place
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13.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.4%1st Place
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14.47Maine Maritime Academy0.411.3%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
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11.91Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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18.39Williams College-0.900.4%1st Place
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12.92Tufts University0.691.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Dale | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Andy Yu | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 18.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 5.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 9.8% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 65.6% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.