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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.78+5.65vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.50+5.68vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+10.18vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+2.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.38+6.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.17+1.83vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.350.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.49-1.58vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.63+1.23vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.41-3.02vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.48vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.18-4.35vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-0.28vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-4.05vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.45-4.25vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.93-7.10vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.87-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.18Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.380.0%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Naval Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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8.0George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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11.23Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.98George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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13.72Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.0%1st Place
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11.75Old Dominion University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.9Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Minder | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Priebe | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Hodges | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Hemmelgarn | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Connor Bayless | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louis Margay | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Owen Timms | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Gray Benson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brian Fox | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Soenke Jordan | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| David Grace | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 25.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
| Frank Frisinger | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Booher | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.