← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.22+1.66vs Predicted
-
2Sacred Heart University0.35+4.38vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.98+0.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.11+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.14-0.21vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire1.02-0.96vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University-0.40+1.15vs Predicted
-
8McGill University0.06-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.47+1.76vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-2.35vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University-1.24-0.72vs Predicted
-
12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89-2.47vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University-2.18-1.11vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-2.85-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66Yale University2.220.3%1st Place
-
6.38Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
-
3.02Salve Regina University1.980.3%1st Place
-
4.79University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
-
4.79Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
-
5.04University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
-
8.15Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
7.2McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.76Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
-
7.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.28Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
-
11.89Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
-
12.87Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 31.9% | 26.1% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hayes | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 25.1% | 21.7% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 8.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Baird | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Fairbank | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 22.4% | 18.7% | 8.5% |
| Seth Pardi | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Michael Chisholm | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Bowman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 31.8% | 25.3% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 20.1% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.