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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.22+1.67vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University0.35+4.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.14+1.65vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.06+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02+0.06vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.98-2.87vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.11-2.44vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.40+0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-1.35vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89-0.43vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-2.18+1.06vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.24-1.74vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.47-2.35vs Predicted
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14Bates College-2.85-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Yale University2.220.3%1st Place
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6.36Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.24McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
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5.06University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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8.25Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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12.06Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
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10.26Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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10.65Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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12.88Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 32.0% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hayes | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lera Anders | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baird | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 22.4% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Seth Pardi | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Chisholm | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Bowman | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 30.1% | 27.7% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 5.4% |
| Julia Fairbank | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 7.5% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 20.7% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.