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📊 Prediction Accuracy
92.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.22+1.69vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+0.98vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+4.53vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.11-0.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14-1.24vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.35-0.73vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.06-0.79vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.47+1.73vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-0.40-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.89-1.46vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.24-1.74vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-2.18-1.08vs Predicted
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14Bates College-2.85-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Yale University2.220.3%1st Place
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2.98Salve Regina University1.980.3%1st Place
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7.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.96University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.27Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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7.21McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
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10.73Middlebury College-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.38Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.890.0%1st Place
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10.26Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.92Fairfield University-2.180.0%1st Place
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12.88Bates College-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 31.9% | 24.0% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 25.2% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seth Pardi | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 9.9% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hayes | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baird | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Julia Fairbank | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 23.4% | 17.5% | 8.5% |
| Owen Moore | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Chisholm | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Flynn | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 5.6% |
| Sarah Bowman | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 30.9% | 26.2% |
| Oliver Russell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 20.6% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.