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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+6.72vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+7.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.73vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.65vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+3.36vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+2.38vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+1.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.20+0.70vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81+1.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.49vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.34vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.68-4.88vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.53-5.75vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.39-6.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.68-4.19vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.94-2.36vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.18-1.28vs Predicted
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18University of Virginia1.83-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Hawaii3.040.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.38Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.7College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.12Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.67Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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15.72University of Michigan1.180.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Virginia1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Billing | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Briana Provancha | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sara Burke | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Mary Cummins | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 17.5% |
| Lauren Beriont | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 49.4% |
| Madeline Gill | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.