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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+9.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.95+6.20vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26+7.43vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55+0.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+3.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05+4.81vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.60+1.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.71vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-1.30vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-1.18vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69+1.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.94-4.60vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.16-2.04vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.18-5.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-8.93vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.46-5.99vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.74-10.70vs Predicted
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20Williams College-0.90-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34Northwestern University1.494.2%1st Place
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8.2Boston College1.956.6%1st Place
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4.3Yale University2.4219.7%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University1.262.5%1st Place
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5.58Yale University2.5511.2%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
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11.81University of Rhode Island1.053.2%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University1.604.7%1st Place
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13.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.751.9%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University1.975.3%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University2.104.7%1st Place
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13.02Tufts University0.692.4%1st Place
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8.4Roger Williams University1.945.3%1st Place
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14.74Maine Maritime Academy0.411.2%1st Place
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12.96Tufts University1.162.2%1st Place
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10.92Bowdoin College1.183.5%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.806.5%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University0.463.2%1st Place
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8.3Brown University1.746.8%1st Place
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18.43Williams College-0.900.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Jack Roman | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 11.1% |
| Adam Larzelere | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Andy Yu | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.