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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+2.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.28+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.35+0.74vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.73+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.32+2.68vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-0.55+2.23vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.08+2.21vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.90+0.95vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.82-0.17vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74-6.90vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.40-0.73vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.86-3.07vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-0.70vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.10-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Yale University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.81Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.74University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
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5.04McGill University0.730.1%1st Place
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7.68University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.23Sacred Heart University-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.21Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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8.95Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.83Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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3.1Salve Regina University1.740.2%1st Place
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10.27Fairfield University-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.93Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.0%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petru Neagu | 22.6% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Miller | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Greg Allen | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Robert Kelley | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| Camille Britton | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 23.7% | 20.3% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Stalzer | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 9.5% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Timothy Lynch | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 21.1% | 45.6% |
| Teagan Duffy | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 23.7% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.