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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+2.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+1.23vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.35-0.19vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.73+0.15vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.90+3.08vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.82+1.60vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.32-0.50vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.55-0.88vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-1.08-0.45vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.40-0.76vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.86-3.05vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-0.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.10-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.23Yale University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.02Salve Regina University1.740.3%1st Place
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3.81University of Vermont1.350.1%1st Place
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5.15McGill University0.730.1%1st Place
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9.08Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.6Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.5University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.12Sacred Heart University-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.55Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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10.24Fairfield University-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.95Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.0%1st Place
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11.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 15.6% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 22.4% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 26.2% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 15.0% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Kelley | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Camille Britton | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Miller | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Greg Allen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| John Stalzer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 9.3% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Timothy Lynch | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 19.4% | 46.4% |
| Teagan Duffy | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.