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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.35+1.67vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+0.03vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.86+4.98vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.32+2.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59-2.64vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.08+2.20vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.73-2.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.10+2.73vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.55-1.82vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.82-2.13vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.90-2.98vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.40-2.88vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
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3.03Salve Regina University1.740.2%1st Place
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8.98Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.62University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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3.36Yale University1.590.2%1st Place
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9.2Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.04McGill University0.730.1%1st Place
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11.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.100.0%1st Place
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8.18Sacred Heart University-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.87Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.02Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.12Fairfield University-1.400.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 14.4% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 16.6% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 24.8% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Lauren Miller | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Petru Neagu | 21.4% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Zach Zeelander | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Duffy | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 22.8% | 30.4% |
| Greg Allen | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Camille Britton | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Robert Kelley | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| John Stalzer | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Timothy Lynch | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.