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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+2.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.32+4.49vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.73+1.06vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.86+4.03vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74-2.85vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.90+1.74vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.82+0.73vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.08+0.47vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.10+1.74vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.40-0.73vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.55-3.86vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-0.72vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.35-10.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Tufts University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.28Yale University1.590.2%1st Place
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7.49University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.06McGill University0.730.1%1st Place
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9.03Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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3.15Salve Regina University1.740.2%1st Place
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8.74Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.73Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.47Princeton University-1.080.0%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.100.0%1st Place
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10.27Fairfield University-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.14Sacred Heart University-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 15.1% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 21.3% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Miller | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Zach Zeelander | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 24.6% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Kelley | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Camille Britton | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Teagan Duffy | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 24.4% | 29.4% |
| John Stalzer | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% |
| Greg Allen | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Timothy Lynch | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 45.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 16.7% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.