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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+2.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.35+0.76vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74-0.88vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.05+1.76vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.73-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.32+0.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.10+3.35vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.90-0.03vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.55-1.85vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.40-0.88vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.86-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-0.98vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-2.63-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.27Yale University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
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3.12Salve Regina University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.76Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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5.19McGill University0.730.1%1st Place
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7.29University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.100.0%1st Place
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8.97Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.15Sacred Heart University-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.12Fairfield University-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.85Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.0%1st Place
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12.29Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 14.9% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 21.3% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 17.5% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 23.3% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zach Zeelander | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Miller | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Teagan Duffy | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 23.1% | 20.0% |
| Robert Kelley | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Greg Allen | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| John Stalzer | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 5.5% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Timothy Lynch | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 27.3% | 30.5% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.