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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.28+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.35+1.72vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+0.33vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74-0.87vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.73+0.21vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.05+0.78vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.90+1.66vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.55+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.45vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-2.63+2.37vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.40-0.89vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.86-3.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.10-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.48-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Tufts University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Vermont1.350.2%1st Place
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3.33Yale University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.13Salve Regina University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.21McGill University0.730.1%1st Place
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6.78Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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8.66Middlebury College-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.03Sacred Heart University-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.55University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.37Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
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10.11Fairfield University-1.400.0%1st Place
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8.81Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.100.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Talbot | 14.8% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 17.0% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 23.0% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 23.5% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Kelley | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Greg Allen | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Miller | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 21.9% | 41.4% |
| John Stalzer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Teagan Duffy | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| Timothy Lynch | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 26.0% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.