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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+6.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+4.01vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+6.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+0.38vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.19+9.92vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.66+1.07vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.04-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13+4.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.45-2.86vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.56+0.17vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.97vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.87-3.09vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97+2.72vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.36-7.30vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.08vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.58vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.95-1.33vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.09-5.36vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-0.99-3.07vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-5.58vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-1.10-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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9.09California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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6.66California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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15.92University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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6.89Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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14.77University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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13.17San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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9.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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18.72California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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15.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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17.42California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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18.67Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.64University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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18.93San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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17.42California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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19.28University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 17.7% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.