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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+5.21vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+6.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.45+5.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.66+3.32vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.53+2.79vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.51vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.04-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28-3.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.41vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19+3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.87-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+0.93vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97+2.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.09-1.18vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.21vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University0.56-6.28vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-2.21vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University-0.95-2.34vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.13-7.25vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.99-4.09vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-1.10-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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7.21University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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9.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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6.49California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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9.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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16.25University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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18.66California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.79California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.72San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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17.79California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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18.66Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.75University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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18.91San Diego State University-0.990.0%1st Place
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19.27University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 16.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan McGlothlin | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.