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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.18+2.89vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+5.17vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87+3.92vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.77-2.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.50+3.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.50+2.21vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+0.99vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29+2.52vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.79-1.96vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-6.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.02-2.12vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.87-0.85vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.25-0.67vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.29-1.59vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-1.58vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.63vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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4.89University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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3.54Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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10.02University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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9.99California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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12.52San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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5.31California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.15San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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15.33Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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16.42California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.37California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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16.42California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 19.0% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 22.4% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 21.8% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.