← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.62vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.18+2.87vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.28+1.68vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.50+6.00vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.77-1.41vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+4.07vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University-0.29+5.67vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.50+2.21vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-3.96vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.98vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.10vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington0.79-2.73vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii0.87-4.43vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-0.02-2.15vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-1.81+1.45vs Predicted
-
16University of Oregon-1.29-0.59vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.87-2.74vs Predicted
-
18California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-1.60vs Predicted
-
19Santa Clara University-1.25-3.88vs Predicted
-
20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
4.87University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
4.68University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
10.0University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
-
3.59Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
-
10.07California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
-
12.67San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
10.21University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
-
5.04California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
-
8.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.27University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
-
8.57University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
11.85University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
-
16.45California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
15.41University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
-
14.26San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
16.4California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
-
15.12Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
16.4California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 20.0% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.8% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 19.9% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.