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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.18+3.28vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+0.89vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.41+5.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+4.03vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+3.61vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.50+1.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.02+2.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.50-1.67vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.87-4.43vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.43+3.61vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.29-1.50vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.79-6.78vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.36-3.03vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+0.02vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.87-3.41vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon-1.29-2.94vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.98vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.97-3.02vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-1.81-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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3.77Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.89University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.58California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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11.52University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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11.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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9.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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18.61University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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14.5San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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19.02California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.59San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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18.06University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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19.02California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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19.98Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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19.66California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 18.2% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 20.2% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.