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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.34+7.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+4.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+6.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.83vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90+5.71vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+4.69vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.63+3.84vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-1.11vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.62vs Predicted
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11Boston University4.07-1.38vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-0.28vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-6.75vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.48-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.43+0.70vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-6.14vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.62-5.44vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-5.86vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.31-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.27Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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10.71Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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11.69University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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6.25St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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12.37University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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15.7University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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12.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Vargas | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 17.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| David Thompson | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Vann | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% |
| Alex Olt | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 42.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.