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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+5.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+6.30vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+6.13vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.48+5.06vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.85+2.17vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.70+3.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.14-0.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.61+0.22vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.73-1.16vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.80+1.89vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.20-2.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.18-3.54vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.46-0.23vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.11-4.65vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.55-3.36vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.30vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.97-4.26vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-2.10vs Predicted
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20Williams College-2.28-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Roger Williams University2.099.5%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.0%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.845.5%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College1.486.3%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University1.858.7%1st Place
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9.57Yale University1.704.7%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.1411.3%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University1.616.7%1st Place
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7.84Boston College1.737.0%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University0.802.5%1st Place
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8.46Yale University1.595.5%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.185.7%1st Place
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13.77Northeastern University0.462.1%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University1.113.5%1st Place
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12.64Tufts University0.552.9%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.812.9%1st Place
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13.74Salve Regina University0.971.7%1st Place
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16.9Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.4%1st Place
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19.27Williams College-2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 11.5% | 2.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 1.9% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 41.2% | 13.4% |
| rebecca power | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 10.4% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.