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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+3.90vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.87+5.78vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.79+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50+5.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-2.37vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.77-3.50vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.50+0.84vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-4.97vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.02+0.73vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-1.59vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.81+3.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.52-4.02vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.29-2.55vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.87-1.68vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-1.25-1.73vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-1.56vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-1.29-3.81vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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3.5Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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8.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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5.03California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.41California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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16.4California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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12.45San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.32San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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15.27Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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16.44California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.19University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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16.44California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 21.3% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 21.9% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.