← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.18+4.14vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.77+1.61vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.56vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.28+0.87vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-1.21vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii0.87+3.51vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.50+3.63vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+3.60vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-0.29+4.94vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.36vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-0.36+3.08vs Predicted
-
12California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-0.96vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.20vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University-1.25+3.48vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.50-3.78vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington0.79-6.34vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.87-0.75vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-1.81+0.80vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Berkeley-0.02-6.29vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-1.43-2.12vs Predicted
-
21California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.54vs Predicted
-
22California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.54vs Predicted
-
23University of Oregon-1.29-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.14University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
3.61Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
-
5.56California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
-
4.87University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
3.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
9.51University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
10.63University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
-
11.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
-
13.94San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
14.08University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.04California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
-
10.8University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
17.48Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.22University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
-
9.66University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
-
16.25San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
18.8California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
-
17.88University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
18.46California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
-
18.46California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
-
17.32University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 21.7% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 18.8% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.