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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.82vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+7.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+6.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.02+7.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.50+4.92vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.28-2.35vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.18-2.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+2.49vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.77-6.45vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.29+2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.79-2.25vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-4.28vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-2.69vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.87-5.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.36-1.89vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.87-0.78vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.43-0.21vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.25-1.86vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.11vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon-1.29-3.66vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.47vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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5.41California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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10.9University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.92University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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3.55Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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13.8San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.31California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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16.22San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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17.79University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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17.14Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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18.89California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.34University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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18.53California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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18.53California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 17.8% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 20.2% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.