← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.50+8.93vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.50+7.96vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.77+0.55vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-0.02+7.59vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-1.30vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.77vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.18-2.15vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.28-3.29vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-3.96vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii0.87-2.36vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-0.29+0.77vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+3.04vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.87+0.25vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington0.79-6.05vs Predicted
-
16California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-6.04vs Predicted
-
17University of Oregon-1.29-1.81vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.54vs Predicted
-
19California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.96vs Predicted
-
20Santa Clara University-1.97-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.93University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
-
3.55Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
-
11.59University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
-
3.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
-
9.77University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
4.85University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
-
4.71University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.04California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
-
8.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
8.64University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
12.77San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
16.04California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
-
14.25San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
8.95University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.96California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
-
15.19University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
-
16.46California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
16.04California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
-
16.58Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustus Doricko | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 20.2% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 19.1% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 12.3% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 32.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.