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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.18+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+2.01vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.77-0.31vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+0.59vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.96vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+4.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.41+2.65vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.79+0.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.02+2.75vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.87-2.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.50-1.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.50-3.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.36-1.17vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.01+0.32vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+1.52vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.81+0.45vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon-1.29-1.88vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-0.29-6.47vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.48vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University-1.97-2.94vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-0.87-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.69Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.59California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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8.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.35California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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13.75University of California at Berkeley-0.020.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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11.54University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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14.83University of California at Irvine-0.360.0%1st Place
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17.32University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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19.52California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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19.45California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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18.12University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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14.53San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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19.52California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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20.06Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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16.88San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 18.2% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 20.3% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Berwick | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Tuck | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 24.0% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 22.3% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.