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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.61+5.86vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82+5.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.01vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.29+1.57vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+1.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.76+3.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.19vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02-1.12vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.95+1.38vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.71-0.70vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-2.94vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.71-6.16vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-3.83vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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2.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.4%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.28California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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9.57San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.81University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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15.38Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.3Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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13.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 18.8% | 19.3% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 41.3% | 27.1% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 17.7% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Dashel Peters | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 25.9% |
| Calum Merry | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 18.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.7% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.