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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.61+5.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.71+4.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.97vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+2.77vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.76+5.49vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82+1.30vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.91vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29-2.38vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02-1.13vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+0.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.65vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.71-1.51vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.60-7.61vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.95-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.4%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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10.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.49University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.62San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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14.49Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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13.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.93Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 44.5% | 24.6% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 17.9% | 20.9% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.6% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 19.3% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Dashel Peters | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.1% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 17.8% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.