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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.34+7.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+4.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+6.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+2.58vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+3.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.44vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.31+5.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.62+3.84vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University5.19-3.85vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.43+5.84vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-1.05vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.90-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.48-0.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.63-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-3.54vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.52-8.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-4.76vs Predicted
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18Boston University4.07-8.44vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.70-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.3Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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12.95Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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15.84University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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10.8Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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12.01University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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9.56Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Thompson | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Vann | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 16.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Olt | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 43.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.