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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.14+5.09vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.85+5.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+5.62vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.48+4.94vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18+4.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.20+3.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.55+5.70vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.84+1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.73-1.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-3.54vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.70-1.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.61-3.86vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.80-1.11vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-0.16vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.46-1.23vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-7.70vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.47vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.11-7.75vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-2.05vs Predicted
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20Williams College-2.28-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Brown University2.1411.7%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University1.857.2%1st Place
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8.62Yale University1.596.8%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College1.485.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.184.9%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.204.6%1st Place
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12.7Tufts University0.552.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University1.845.2%1st Place
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7.65Boston College1.738.1%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.0910.5%1st Place
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9.7Yale University1.704.7%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University1.617.3%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University0.802.8%1st Place
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13.84Salve Regina University0.971.6%1st Place
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13.77Northeastern University0.461.8%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.1%1st Place
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11.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.6%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University1.114.4%1st Place
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16.95Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.5%1st Place
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19.29Williams College-2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 0.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 2.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| William Kulas | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Conrad Straden | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Brayden Benesch | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 41.2% | 15.1% |
| rebecca power | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 11.3% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.