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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.61+2.49vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.29+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.60+0.35vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82+0.16vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02-0.34vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-2.58vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-0.69vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.71-1.45vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.95-1.71vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.5%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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8.34San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.16California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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12.55Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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13.29Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 45.8% | 25.8% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 19.8% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.2% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Dashel Peters | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| Calum Merry | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 22.6% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 33.7% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.