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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-0.67vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82+5.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.32vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.61+0.43vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.60vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.95+1.18vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-3.59vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.71-1.46vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-3.36vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.5%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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10.18California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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8.5San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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12.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.18Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.54Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 47.1% | 25.8% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.6% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 17.6% | 22.0% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aiden Doyle | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 32.6% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Calum Merry | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 21.6% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 9.9% |
| Dashel Peters | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.