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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.09+5.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.61+6.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.71+4.87vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+2.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.84vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+1.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-3.62vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82+0.31vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.20vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.71+1.31vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.95+1.34vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02-2.98vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-2.94vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-2.87vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.76-3.35vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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2.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.4%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.44San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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10.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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11.31California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.31Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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15.34Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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14.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.65University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 18.7% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 41.6% | 26.7% | 17.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Calum Merry | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 26.9% |
| Dashel Peters | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.1% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 18.2% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.