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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.61+5.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.42vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.95+8.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.60+1.40vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29-0.74vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82+0.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.76+2.99vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.71+1.30vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-3.39vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-1.08vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02-3.93vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.71-6.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-5.56vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.4%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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15.21Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.26San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.99University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.3Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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10.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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12.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 42.5% | 26.2% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 17.8% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 25.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| Calum Merry | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.3% |
| Dashel Peters | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.