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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+3.62vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.05vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82+2.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.60+0.65vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-0.25vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.61-2.21vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.71-0.60vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-1.88vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.95-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.5%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.07California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.05San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.4Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.79Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 47.6% | 24.0% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Kraak | 17.5% | 24.8% | 21.0% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Calum Merry | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 25.6% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 22.1% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.