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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-0.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.71+2.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.60+1.39vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.29-0.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.61-0.45vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+1.62vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-2.50vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.76+0.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65+1.05vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.71-2.26vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.95-2.51vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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2.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.4%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.83University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.39University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.67San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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12.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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9.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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15.05University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
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12.74Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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13.49Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.32California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 20.1% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.2% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 43.6% | 28.9% | 15.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 9.2% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 13.0% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 46.2% |
| Calum Merry | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 10.8% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 16.5% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.