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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-0.71+8.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-0.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.19vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.71+5.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.60+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.61-0.47vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82-0.67vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+0.57vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.29-4.40vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-4.41vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-2.65-0.03vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.76-2.90vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.95-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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2.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.4%1st Place
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5.66University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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12.79Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.33California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.6San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Santa Cruz-2.650.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.55Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Kulavic | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Lukas Kraak | 19.8% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 43.2% | 29.8% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.9% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 9.1% |
| Erik Hallback | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 45.5% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 12.8% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.