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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.09+4.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-0.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.77vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.29+0.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.60+0.64vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-0.21vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-0.82-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.61-2.19vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.71-0.60vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-1.90vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.95-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.2%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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2.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.5%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.68San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.42California Poly Maritime Academy-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.4Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.79Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Kraak | 19.0% | 25.1% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 45.4% | 26.7% | 15.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 10.1% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Aiden Doyle | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Calum Merry | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 25.6% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 21.9% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 21.1% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.